Winter Targeted Observing Periods during the Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere (YOPP-SH)
Zou, Xun
- 1University System of Ohio
- 2Universidade do Porto
- 3Bureau of Meteorology - Australia
- 4Australian Antarctic Division
- 5Meteo France
- 6University of Tasmania
- 7Universite Catholique Louvain
- 8NSF Natl Ctr Atmospher Res
- 9
- 10Naval Informat Warfare Ctr Atlantic
- 11Korea Polar Research Institute (KOPRI)
- 12Ministry of Education & Science of Ukraine
- 13UK Research & Innovation (UKRI)
- 14University of San Diego
- 15Universidad de Santiago de Chile
- 16Agencia Estatal de Meteorologia (AEMET)
- 17European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF)
- 18Research Organization of Information & Systems (ROIS)
- 19CONICET Natl Weather Serv
- 20University of Wisconsin System
- 21NorthWest Research Associates
- 22Natl Ctr Marine Environm Forecasting
- 23Consiglio Nazionale delle Ricerche (CNR)
- 24Swiss Federal Institutes of Technology Domain
Journal
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
ISSN
0003-0007
1520-0477
Volume
105
The Year of Polar Prediction in the Southern Hemisphere (YOPP-SH) held seven targeted observing periods (TOPs) during the 2022 austral winter to enhance atmospheric predictability over the Southern Ocean and Antarctica. The TOPs of 5-10-day duration each featured the release of additional radiosonde balloons, more than doubling the routine sounding program at the 24 participating stations run by 14 nations, together with process-oriented observations at selected sites. These extra sounding data are evaluated for their impact on forecast skill via data denial experiments with the goal of refining the observing system to improve numerical weather prediction for winter conditions. Extensive observations focusing on clouds and precipitation primarily during atmospheric river (AR) events are being applied to refine model microphysical parameterizations for the ubiquitous mixed-phase clouds that frequently impact coastal Antarctica. Process studies are being facilitated by high-time-resolution series of observations and forecast model output via the YOPP Model Intercomparison and Improvement Project (YOPPsiteMIIP). Parallel investigations are broadening the scope and impact of the YOPP-SH winter TOPs. Studies of the Antarctic tourist industry's use of weather services show the scope for much greater awareness of the availability of forecast products and the skill they exhibit. The Sea Ice Prediction Network South (SIPN South) analysis of predictions of the sea ice growth period reveals that the forecast skill is superior to the sea ice retreat phase.
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